For the first time in a while, Raleigh and Cary homeowners thinking about “the next house” are seeing a rare combination:
Mortgage rates have eased off their recent highs, and inventory is no longer ultra-tight.
That may not sound dramatic but after years of frenzy conditions, this shift quietly changes the math for move-up buyers across the Triangle.
Here’s what’s changed, and what it could mean for your next move.
What’s changed with rates and inventory
Over the past year, 30-year mortgage rates in North Carolina climbed to levels that sidelined a lot of buyers. Recently, rates have stepped down from those peaks, with many forecasts calling for them to settle in the mid-6% range, and potentially drift a bit lower into 2026.
At the same time, inventory around Raleigh, Cary, and surrounding areas has increased compared to the ultra-tight conditions of 2021–2022.
We’re not flooded with listings but buyers now have:
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More options to choose from
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Slightly longer decision windows
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Less “must-win-at-all-costs” competition in many price ranges
That combination hasn’t been common in recent years.
Why this creates a window for move-up buyers
Move-up buyers live in two markets at once:
you’re a seller first, then a buyer.
Right now, that balance is a bit more favorable than it’s been.
Here’s why:
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Many homes, especially well-priced, move-in-ready ones, are still selling into solid demand
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Higher price points are often less cut-throat than entry-level segments
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Buyers sometimes have room to negotiate on price, repairs, or timing, something that was rare in the frenzy years
In simple terms:
You may be able to sell in a healthy market and buy in a calmer one, particularly if you’re moving up in price.
Where competition has cooled the most
Not every segment behaves the same.
What I’m seeing locally:
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Entry-level and first-time buyer price points remain competitive
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Mid-range and move-up homes often have more breathing room
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Certain neighborhoods and newer resale homes see fewer bidding wars than before
This creates opportunity for buyers who are flexible on timing, layout, or exact location and who are prepared going in.
How to structure a smart move-up strategy
The logistics matter just as much as market conditions.
A strong move-up plan usually includes:
Coordinating the sale and purchase
Understanding whether to sell first, buy first, or align closings can reduce stress and financial risk.
Using equity strategically
Many move-up buyers are sitting on significant equity from the last few years. The key is deciding how much to roll into the next home versus keeping reserves.
Targeting the right price bands
Some ranges have cooled more than others. Buying where competition has eased can improve negotiating power.
The goal isn’t to “time” the market perfectly, it’s to control the transition.
What this means if you’re thinking about your next move
This shift doesn’t mean everyone should move right now. But it does mean move-up buyers finally have options and leverage that were missing for a long time.
If you’ve been waiting because:
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Rates felt too high
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Inventory felt too tight
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The process felt too risky
This may be the most balanced environment you’ve seen in years.
The takeaway
Easing rates and rising inventory don’t make headlines like bidding wars but for move-up buyers in Raleigh, Cary, and the Triangle, they matter more.
This moment is less about urgency and more about opportunity with intention.
If you want help evaluating:
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What your current home could sell for
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What your equity can realistically support
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Whether it makes sense to move now or wait
I’m happy to walk through the numbers and timing with you, no pressure, just clarity.